Paganese vs Virtus Francavilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.7%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.8%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.9%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
41.4%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.2%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-32%
-28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paganese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
AVE
3 - 0
PAG
63%
23%
14%
|
47 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2021 |
PAG
2 - 0
RPO
33%
26%
41%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | +2 |
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
MON
1 - 0
PAG
60%
22%
17%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 2021 |
PAG
0 - 2
FCC
23%
27%
50%
|
47 | 61 | 14 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
CAM
2 - 0
PAG
39%
27%
34%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Virtus Francavilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
FRA
3 - 0
BAR
19%
26%
56%
|
51 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2021 |
PAL
1 - 0
FRA
77%
17%
7%
|
51 | 67 | 16 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
AVE
1 - 0
FRA
55%
25%
20%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
FRA
0 - 0
TAR
46%
27%
27%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2021 |
RPO
0 - 1
FRA
43%
28%
30%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | +1 |