Paganese vs Virtus Francavilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.2%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.2%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
26.6%
23.2%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-31%
-31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paganese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
MES
0 - 2
PAG
59%
23%
18%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
PAG
0 - 2
MON
37%
27%
36%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
FCC
0 - 2
PAG
51%
27%
22%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2016 |
FIA
2 - 0
PAG
64%
22%
15%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
PAG
0 - 1
CAS
28%
27%
46%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Virtus Francavilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
NUO
1 - 0
FRA
64%
23%
13%
|
45 | 56 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
FRA
1 - 4
MAT
24%
27%
50%
|
46 | 57 | 11 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
AKR
2 - 1
FRA
65%
20%
15%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2016 |
FRA
0 - 1
USF
12%
20%
69%
|
47 | 65 | 18 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
MES
1 - 1
FRA
57%
24%
19%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | 0 |