Paganese vs US Vibonese Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.5%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.7%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.9%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
51.9%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
13.1%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.9%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.4%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-31%
-31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paganese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2018 |
CAS
4 - 1
PAG
73%
18%
9%
|
40 | 56 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2018 |
PAG
2 - 2
CAV
22%
23%
55%
|
39 | 49 | 10 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 2018 |
REG
1 - 0
PAG
61%
23%
16%
|
40 | 48 | 8 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 2018 |
PAG
0 - 1
SIC
30%
26%
44%
|
41 | 49 | 8 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 2018 |
BIS
2 - 2
PAG
62%
22%
17%
|
41 | 49 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
US Vibonese Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2018 |
USV
1 - 0
VIT
45%
26%
28%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2018 |
REN
1 - 0
USV
44%
29%
28%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 2018 |
USV
5 - 0
FRA
48%
26%
25%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2018 |
CAS
1 - 1
USV
54%
26%
20%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2018 |
USV
1 - 0
SIC
44%
27%
29%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | +1 |