Paganese vs US Vibonese Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
79.7%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
1.3%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.6%
4-0
7.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
8.6%
3-0
13.6%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.2%
+3
16.4%
2-0
18.9%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
24.2%
1-0
17.4%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25%
15.5%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
1.2%
3-3
0.1%
0
15.5%
4.8%
Win probability
0.35
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.1%
-1
4.1%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-57%
-38%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paganese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2011 |
PRG
2 - 1
PAG
45%
27%
27%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2011 |
PAG
2 - 1
ACI
71%
20%
9%
|
50 | 30 | 20 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
MIL
0 - 2
PAG
33%
27%
40%
|
50 | 41 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
PAG
2 - 0
FCC
73%
19%
8%
|
51 | 21 | 30 | -1 |
| 15 May. 2011 |
PAG
1 - 0
FCS
50%
26%
24%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
US Vibonese Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
USV
1 - 1
ASM
31%
27%
41%
|
21 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2011 |
LAQ
1 - 0
USV
72%
18%
10%
|
22 | 33 | 11 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
USV
0 - 3
FON
41%
26%
34%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | -2 |
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
NEA
2 - 2
USV
70%
19%
11%
|
24 | 34 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
USV
3 - 3
BRI
36%
27%
37%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | -1 |