Paganese vs Avellino analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.4%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.2%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.2%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
56.9%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.5%
0-3
6%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.4%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-29%
+37%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paganese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2019 |
PAG
1 - 1
REG
27%
28%
45%
|
44 | 56 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2019 |
RIE
1 - 2
PAG
47%
24%
29%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2019 |
PAG
5 - 1
REN
39%
26%
35%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | +3 |
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
CAV
1 - 0
PAG
55%
24%
22%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2019 |
PAG
2 - 2
FRA
18%
23%
59%
|
41 | 54 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Avellino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2019 |
AVE
0 - 0
REN
77%
15%
7%
|
54 | 43 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2019 |
CAV
2 - 0
AVE
23%
26%
51%
|
56 | 46 | 10 | -2 |
| 25 Sep. 2019 |
AVE
0 - 1
FRA
51%
25%
24%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
AVE
0 - 1
BIS
74%
17%
9%
|
57 | 43 | 14 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2019 |
PIC
2 - 3
AVE
25%
26%
50%
|
57 | 46 | 11 | 0 |