Paganese vs Ternana Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.6%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.2%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.8%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
44.3%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.7%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.3%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-30%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paganese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2020 |
CAT
1 - 1
PAG
63%
21%
16%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
USV
1 - 1
PAG
52%
25%
24%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
PAG
0 - 0
TER
39%
26%
35%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2020 |
AVE
1 - 0
PAG
60%
22%
18%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2020 |
REG
3 - 0
PAG
66%
21%
13%
|
47 | 59 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Ternana Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2020 |
TER
0 - 0
VIT
62%
21%
17%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2020 |
TER
1 - 2
ABN
59%
23%
18%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | -2 |
| 16 Sep. 2020 |
PES
1 - 0
TER
75%
16%
10%
|
55 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2020 |
ASG
1 - 1
TER
27%
25%
48%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2020 |
SAL
3 - 1
TER
75%
16%
10%
|
55 | 66 | 11 | 0 |