Paganese vs Sambenedettese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.5%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.2%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
33.2%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-32%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paganese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 1982 |
PAG
1 - 3
CES
30%
24%
47%
|
44 | 70 | 26 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1982 |
ARZ
3 - 0
PAG
68%
17%
15%
|
45 | 56 | 11 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 1982 |
PAG
0 - 2
FCC
28%
23%
49%
|
45 | 74 | 29 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 1982 |
USC
0 - 0
PAG
65%
19%
16%
|
45 | 60 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Sambenedettese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 1982 |
SSS
1 - 0
ARZ
54%
22%
24%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1982 |
FCC
2 - 1
SSS
71%
19%
11%
|
60 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 1982 |
SSS
1 - 1
USC
51%
28%
22%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 1982 |
SSS
0 - 0
CES
39%
30%
30%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 1982 |
SSS
4 - 0
PES
65%
24%
10%
|
59 | 49 | 10 | +1 |