Paganese vs SS Manfredonia Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.2%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
7%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.8%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
33.4%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-30%
+28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paganese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2007 |
PAG
0 - 0
TER
40%
26%
34%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2007 |
PAG
1 - 0
UNI
40%
27%
33%
|
47 | 56 | 9 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2007 |
NOV
1 - 0
PAG
61%
23%
16%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2007 |
PAG
2 - 0
FOL
35%
27%
39%
|
46 | 57 | 11 | +2 |
| 14 Oct. 2007 |
USF
1 - 0
PAG
64%
22%
14%
|
47 | 57 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
SS Manfredonia Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2007 |
SSM
2 - 1
VNZ
31%
29%
40%
|
53 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2007 |
CTT
6 - 0
SSM
65%
22%
13%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2007 |
SSM
0 - 1
ASS
44%
26%
30%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2007 |
LEC
0 - 1
SSM
50%
27%
23%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2007 |
PRO
2 - 1
SSM
42%
28%
31%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | 0 |