Paganese vs Juve Stabia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25.6%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.6%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.5%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
47.6%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
13%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.4%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-31%
+28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paganese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
NUO
2 - 1
PAG
60%
25%
16%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
PAG
3 - 0
ASM
50%
27%
23%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2016 |
PAG
1 - 1
FRA
50%
27%
23%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
MES
0 - 2
PAG
59%
23%
18%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
PAG
0 - 2
MON
37%
27%
36%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Juve Stabia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2016 |
USF
4 - 1
JUS
62%
21%
17%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
JUS
4 - 1
USF
25%
24%
51%
|
54 | 65 | 11 | +2 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
REG
1 - 0
JUS
22%
25%
53%
|
55 | 45 | 10 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
JUS
3 - 0
USV
81%
13%
6%
|
54 | 41 | 13 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
FON
2 - 2
JUS
34%
26%
41%
|
55 | 46 | 9 | -1 |