Paganese vs Cassino analysis

Paganese Cassino
48 ELO 52
-14.5% Tilt -2.7%
5022º General ELO ranking 4504º
174º Country ELO ranking 155º
ELO win probability
36.7%
Paganese
28%
Draw
35.2%
Cassino

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.7%
Win probability
Paganese
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.7%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.4%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
28%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28%
35.2%
Win probability
Cassino
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Paganese
-31%
-12%
Cassino

Points and table prediction

Paganese
Their league position
Cassino
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
56
58
18º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Guidonia
69
69
100%
Gelbison
64
64
100%
Sarnese
62
62
100%
Cassino
58
58
100%
Savoia 1908
57
57
100%
Paganese
56
56
100%
Cynthialbalonga
51
51
100%
Puteolana
47
48
100%
Trastevere
44
44
100%
Olbia Calcio
10º
42
42
10º
100%
Latte Dolce
11º
41
41
11º
100%
Anzio
15º
38
40
12º
100%
Ilvamaddalena
13º
38
38
13º
100%
Real Monterotondo Scalo
12º
39
38
14º
100%
Lodigiani
14º
38
38
15º
100%
Sarrabus Ogliastra
16º
33
33
16º
100%
Atletico Uri
17º
29
29
17º
100%
Terracina Calcio
18º
24
25
18º
100%
Expected probabilities
Paganese
Cassino
Promotion
0% 0%
Promotion play-offs
0% 100%
Mid-table
100% 0%
Relegation play-offs
0% 0%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Paganese
Cassino
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Paganese
Paganese
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
18 Jan. 2025
RMS
Real Monterotondo Scalo
2 - 1
Paganese
PAG
30%
25%
45%
49 42 7 0
12 Jan. 2025
PAG
Paganese
0 - 0
Anzio
ANZ
59%
22%
19%
49 41 8 0
05 Jan. 2025
GMF
Guidonia
1 - 1
Paganese
PAG
11%
16%
74%
49 8 41 0
21 Dec. 2024
ULD
Latte Dolce
4 - 1
Paganese
PAG
20%
24%
56%
51 41 10 -2
15 Dec. 2024
PAG
Paganese
2 - 0
Ilvamaddalena
ASI
63%
21%
16%
50 36 14 +1

Matches

Cassino
Cassino
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
19 Jan. 2025
SSC
Cassino
2 - 1
Lodigiani
LOD
49%
25%
26%
51 44 7 0
12 Jan. 2025
RMS
Real Monterotondo Scalo
0 - 0
Cassino
SSC
29%
27%
44%
51 42 9 0
05 Jan. 2025
SSC
Cassino
3 - 0
Trastevere
TRA
58%
24%
19%
51 41 10 0
22 Dec. 2024
GMF
Guidonia
0 - 1
Cassino
SSC
16%
21%
64%
50 9 41 +1
15 Dec. 2024
SSC
Cassino
1 - 0
Puteolana
PUT
48%
26%
26%
50 44 6 0