Paganese vs Barletta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.7%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
9%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
26.4%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paganese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
ISC
0 - 2
PAG
33%
28%
39%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
PAG
2 - 2
ASM
56%
25%
19%
|
48 | 41 | 7 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
NUO
1 - 1
PAG
35%
27%
38%
|
46 | 38 | 8 | +2 |
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
PAG
0 - 1
JUS
21%
26%
53%
|
47 | 57 | 10 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
LEC
1 - 0
PAG
84%
13%
4%
|
47 | 73 | 26 | 0 |
Matches
Barletta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
SSB
0 - 1
MAT
37%
27%
37%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
CAS
2 - 1
SSB
41%
27%
32%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
SSB
0 - 1
BEN
11%
20%
69%
|
49 | 68 | 19 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
LRO
2 - 0
SSB
38%
27%
36%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2014 |
SSB
0 - 0
FCS
54%
24%
23%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | -1 |