Paganese vs Barletta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.1%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.8%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.8%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
22.2%
29.1%
Draw
0-0
11%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.1%
32.9%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paganese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2013 |
PAG
1 - 1
LAT
23%
27%
50%
|
50 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
PAG
0 - 0
BEN
11%
21%
68%
|
49 | 65 | 16 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
CAR
1 - 2
PAG
49%
26%
25%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
PAG
0 - 1
NOC
20%
27%
53%
|
49 | 64 | 15 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
PIS
0 - 0
PAG
72%
19%
9%
|
48 | 62 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Barletta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
SSB
0 - 0
SOR
30%
27%
44%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
ASA
0 - 0
SSB
49%
28%
24%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
SSB
0 - 0
FRO
27%
27%
46%
|
50 | 60 | 10 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
SSB
1 - 2
ASG
38%
28%
34%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
LAT
2 - 0
SSB
58%
25%
17%
|
51 | 60 | 9 | 0 |