Paganese vs Sorrento analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.5%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.6%
1-0
8%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.9%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
51.7%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
13.4%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.8%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7.3%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-31%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paganese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
PER
0 - 0
PAG
54%
26%
20%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
PAG
2 - 0
REG
26%
28%
46%
|
49 | 59 | 10 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
RAV
1 - 0
PAG
65%
22%
13%
|
49 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
PAG
1 - 0
SPA
21%
25%
54%
|
48 | 61 | 13 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 2011 |
USA
1 - 0
PAG
66%
21%
13%
|
48 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Sorrento
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
SPA
0 - 0
SOR
34%
28%
39%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
SOR
4 - 3
USA
57%
24%
19%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
COM
3 - 2
SOR
25%
27%
48%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
SOR
1 - 0
ASS
68%
20%
13%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2011 |
RAV
2 - 2
SOR
39%
27%
34%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |