Paganese vs Sorrento analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.8%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.4%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.8%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.5%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.9%
37.3%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-35%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paganese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2010 |
ASF
2 - 0
PAG
37%
27%
37%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2010 |
PAG
2 - 2
FOL
36%
27%
37%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2010 |
USC
1 - 0
PAG
71%
19%
10%
|
52 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2009 |
PAG
1 - 0
LEC
41%
28%
31%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Dec. 2009 |
PAG
1 - 2
NOV
23%
28%
49%
|
52 | 65 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Sorrento
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2010 |
SOR
3 - 2
ARZ
23%
27%
50%
|
54 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2010 |
USC
0 - 0
SOR
67%
20%
13%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2010 |
SOR
0 - 2
NOV
27%
29%
45%
|
55 | 66 | 11 | -1 |
| 20 Dec. 2009 |
USA
2 - 1
SOR
44%
27%
30%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Dec. 2009 |
SOR
0 - 0
PER
52%
26%
22%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | 0 |