Paganese vs Siracusa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24.4%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.3%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.6%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
50.1%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.3%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-31%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paganese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Dec. 2018 |
REN
1 - 2
PAG
68%
21%
12%
|
37 | 52 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2018 |
VIT
2 - 1
PAG
75%
16%
9%
|
38 | 51 | 13 | -1 |
| 23 Dec. 2018 |
PAG
1 - 3
TRA
13%
22%
66%
|
38 | 61 | 23 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2018 |
FRA
1 - 0
PAG
63%
21%
16%
|
39 | 47 | 8 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 2018 |
PAG
2 - 2
MAT
19%
24%
57%
|
38 | 52 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Siracusa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2019 |
SIR
2 - 1
CAT
23%
27%
50%
|
49 | 60 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 2018 |
JUS
1 - 0
SIR
73%
17%
10%
|
50 | 61 | 11 | -1 |
| 26 Dec. 2018 |
SIR
1 - 1
MON
30%
28%
43%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | +1 |
| 23 Dec. 2018 |
FCC
3 - 1
SIR
54%
26%
20%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 2018 |
SIR
0 - 0
CAS
33%
28%
39%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | 0 |