Paganese vs Siracusa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.7%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.9%
2-0
7%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.7%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
28.2%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.2%
34.1%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-35%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paganese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
MON
1 - 1
PAG
52%
25%
23%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
PAG
3 - 0
REN
34%
28%
38%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | +2 |
| 03 Mar. 2018 |
FRA
0 - 0
PAG
46%
26%
28%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
PAG
0 - 1
FIA
43%
27%
30%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
TRA
4 - 1
PAG
79%
15%
6%
|
50 | 66 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
Siracusa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
FRA
0 - 0
SIR
35%
28%
37%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
SIR
0 - 1
CAS
49%
26%
26%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2018 |
CAT
1 - 0
SIR
57%
24%
20%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
SIR
3 - 0
MON
46%
26%
28%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | +2 |
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
MAT
2 - 0
SIR
46%
26%
27%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | -1 |