Paganese vs Sicula Leonzio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.5%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.1%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.5%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.9%
10.6%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paganese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2020 |
MON
0 - 1
PAG
60%
23%
18%
|
47 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2019 |
RPO
1 - 0
PAG
59%
23%
18%
|
47 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2019 |
PAG
3 - 1
CAT
25%
23%
52%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | +1 |
| 07 Dec. 2019 |
PAG
1 - 1
FCC
26%
27%
47%
|
45 | 57 | 12 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 2019 |
CAS
1 - 3
PAG
65%
21%
15%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Sicula Leonzio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2020 |
SIC
0 - 1
TER
27%
26%
47%
|
41 | 50 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2019 |
SIC
1 - 2
REG
18%
26%
57%
|
41 | 60 | 19 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2019 |
AVE
3 - 1
SIC
74%
17%
9%
|
42 | 51 | 9 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 2019 |
SIC
2 - 7
USV
30%
26%
45%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | -2 |
| 24 Nov. 2019 |
PIC
1 - 1
SIC
54%
24%
22%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | 0 |