Paganese vs Sicula Leonzio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.1%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.4%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
34.5%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paganese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
FON
4 - 5
PAG
39%
25%
36%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2018 |
PAG
1 - 1
CAS
31%
28%
41%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2018 |
CAT
6 - 0
PAG
67%
20%
13%
|
49 | 59 | 10 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2018 |
PAG
1 - 2
SIR
38%
28%
34%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
MON
1 - 1
PAG
52%
25%
23%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Sicula Leonzio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
SIC
0 - 1
NUO
37%
27%
36%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
CAS
1 - 1
SIC
46%
28%
26%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 2018 |
SIC
2 - 0
FON
62%
22%
16%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2018 |
FIA
2 - 1
SIC
39%
28%
33%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2018 |
SIC
1 - 0
REN
49%
26%
25%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | +1 |