Paganese vs Real Agro Aversa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.8%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.8%
3-0
11.2%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.2%
2-0
16.7%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
22.8%
1-0
16.6%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.1%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
8%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
18.4%
7.8%
Win probability
0.48
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
6.2%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paganese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2011 |
CAM
0 - 1
PAG
20%
27%
53%
|
44 | 27 | 17 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
PAG
1 - 2
CHI
70%
20%
10%
|
45 | 30 | 15 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
EBO
0 - 0
PAG
37%
28%
36%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2011 |
PAG
1 - 1
NEA
69%
20%
12%
|
45 | 28 | 17 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
GAV
1 - 1
PAG
20%
26%
54%
|
46 | 29 | 17 | -1 |
Matches
Real Agro Aversa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2011 |
RAA
2 - 0
FON
61%
22%
17%
|
28 | 22 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
ARZ
1 - 0
RAA
68%
19%
13%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
RAA
0 - 0
EBO
29%
25%
47%
|
28 | 38 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
VIG
0 - 0
RAA
56%
25%
20%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2011 |
RAA
1 - 0
FAN
65%
21%
15%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | +1 |