Paganese vs Rieti analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.8%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.1%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.2%
14%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paganese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2006 |
SSC
2 - 1
PAG
35%
26%
39%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2006 |
PAG
1 - 0
REG
32%
26%
42%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2006 |
CUO
0 - 1
PAG
51%
24%
25%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2006 |
PAG
2 - 1
FOL
35%
26%
39%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2006 |
ACP
1 - 1
PAG
52%
24%
24%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Rieti
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2006 |
RIE
0 - 2
ROV
41%
26%
33%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2006 |
ACS
1 - 0
RIE
56%
24%
20%
|
40 | 46 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2006 |
RIE
1 - 1
VIN
29%
27%
44%
|
40 | 48 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2006 |
BSL
2 - 1
RIE
51%
24%
24%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2006 |
FOL
0 - 0
RIE
66%
20%
14%
|
40 | 50 | 10 | +1 |