Paganese vs Rende analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.5%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.3%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
35.3%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paganese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
CAV
1 - 0
PAG
55%
24%
22%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2019 |
PAG
2 - 2
FRA
18%
23%
59%
|
41 | 54 | 13 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2019 |
SIC
2 - 2
PAG
60%
22%
18%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2019 |
PAG
2 - 0
MON
15%
21%
64%
|
39 | 55 | 16 | +2 |
| 25 Aug. 2019 |
VIT
2 - 1
PAG
71%
18%
11%
|
40 | 50 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Rende
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2019 |
REN
1 - 1
TER
31%
27%
42%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2019 |
USV
3 - 0
REN
36%
28%
36%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | -2 |
| 08 Sep. 2019 |
REN
1 - 2
TER
26%
27%
48%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2019 |
CAS
2 - 0
REN
53%
25%
22%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | -2 |
| 25 Aug. 2019 |
REN
0 - 1
BIS
63%
23%
14%
|
49 | 41 | 8 | 0 |