Paganese vs Reggina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.8%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.8%
1-0
7%
2-1
5%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.4%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
55.8%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
13.2%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.3%
0-2
10.9%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.2%
0-3
6%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.5%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-31%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paganese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2019 |
SIC
1 - 1
PAG
67%
20%
13%
|
37 | 49 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2019 |
PAG
0 - 0
BIS
34%
26%
40%
|
36 | 43 | 7 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2019 |
CAT
2 - 1
PAG
78%
15%
7%
|
37 | 59 | 22 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 2019 |
PAG
1 - 3
MON
16%
22%
63%
|
37 | 53 | 16 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2019 |
FCC
4 - 1
PAG
72%
19%
9%
|
38 | 58 | 20 | -1 |
Matches
Reggina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2019 |
REG
1 - 1
REN
57%
24%
19%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2019 |
JUS
1 - 0
REG
67%
20%
13%
|
52 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2019 |
FRA
1 - 0
REG
35%
28%
37%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 2019 |
REG
0 - 0
RPO
47%
26%
26%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2019 |
SIR
0 - 2
REG
35%
26%
39%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | +1 |