Paganese vs Puteolana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.1%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.6%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.6%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.6%
16.4%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.5%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paganese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2022 |
FIA
1 - 0
PAG
44%
28%
28%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2022 |
PAG
1 - 0
FIA
35%
27%
38%
|
40 | 47 | 7 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 2022 |
TUR
4 - 2
PAG
67%
20%
13%
|
41 | 49 | 8 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2022 |
PAG
2 - 3
PIC
26%
26%
49%
|
42 | 51 | 9 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2022 |
JUS
4 - 0
PAG
75%
17%
9%
|
42 | 55 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Puteolana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2021 |
BEN
2 - 0
PUT
92%
7%
2%
|
28 | 75 | 47 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2021 |
PUT
0 - 1
VIR
22%
21%
57%
|
29 | 40 | 11 | -1 |
| 06 Jun. 2021 |
RAA
2 - 1
PUT
43%
24%
33%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | -1 |
| 30 May. 2021 |
PUT
0 - 0
BRI
37%
23%
40%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2021 |
PUT
1 - 1
SOR
30%
23%
47%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | 0 |