Paganese vs Pontedera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.8%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.2%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
21.5%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-30%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paganese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
BEN
2 - 1
PAG
70%
21%
9%
|
51 | 65 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2013 |
PAG
0 - 0
PRO
50%
26%
24%
|
50 | 41 | 9 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2013 |
PAG
0 - 2
PRG
26%
29%
44%
|
51 | 60 | 9 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2013 |
LAT
4 - 0
PAG
60%
25%
16%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
PAG
1 - 1
FRO
26%
28%
47%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Pontedera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
PON
5 - 2
GRO
17%
25%
58%
|
40 | 60 | 20 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2013 |
BEN
4 - 0
PON
69%
20%
11%
|
39 | 63 | 24 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2013 |
GAV
4 - 1
PON
22%
24%
54%
|
41 | 27 | 14 | -2 |
| 05 May. 2013 |
PON
4 - 1
MAR
62%
22%
17%
|
41 | 34 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
VIG
2 - 0
PON
22%
25%
53%
|
43 | 32 | 11 | -2 |