Paganese vs Novara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.6%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.4%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.6%
28.3%
Draw
0-0
11.8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
28.2%
49.1%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
15.7%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
25.8%
0-2
10.5%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
14.8%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
6%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-35%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paganese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 2009 |
PRG
2 - 1
PAG
52%
27%
21%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2009 |
PAG
3 - 0
PER
38%
29%
33%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 Nov. 2009 |
USA
1 - 0
PAG
51%
26%
23%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | -1 |
| 15 Nov. 2009 |
PAG
1 - 3
COM
66%
22%
13%
|
53 | 40 | 13 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 2009 |
ASS
0 - 2
PAG
57%
25%
18%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | +2 |
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 2009 |
NOV
0 - 0
ARZ
53%
24%
23%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2009 |
USC
0 - 2
NOV
49%
26%
25%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2009 |
SIE
0 - 2
NOV
63%
23%
14%
|
63 | 77 | 14 | +2 |
| 22 Nov. 2009 |
NOV
2 - 0
BEN
49%
25%
26%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Nov. 2009 |
FOL
1 - 1
NOV
37%
29%
35%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |