Paganese vs Monopoli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
14.9%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.4%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
4.1%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.5%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.2%
63.9%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
12.1%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.7%
0-3
7.8%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
11.3%
0-4
3.8%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.1%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-29%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paganese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2019 |
VIT
2 - 1
PAG
71%
18%
11%
|
40 | 50 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2019 |
PAG
2 - 2
AVE
17%
21%
63%
|
39 | 56 | 17 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2019 |
BAR
3 - 2
PAG
79%
15%
6%
|
39 | 63 | 24 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2019 |
BIS
4 - 3
PAG
45%
26%
29%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 May. 2019 |
PAG
2 - 1
BIS
39%
26%
35%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Monopoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2019 |
MON
1 - 0
USV
59%
24%
17%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2019 |
FRO
5 - 1
MON
75%
16%
9%
|
54 | 70 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2019 |
MON
1 - 0
NUO
17%
22%
61%
|
53 | 66 | 13 | +1 |
| 04 Aug. 2019 |
MON
4 - 1
MPO
60%
24%
16%
|
53 | 44 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2019 |
CRO
2 - 1
MON
77%
16%
7%
|
53 | 72 | 19 | 0 |