Paganese vs Monopoli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.7%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.7%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
11%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.8%
62.4%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
0-1
12.6%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.2%
0-2
11.9%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.3%
0-3
7.5%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
10.8%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
4.7%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-29%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paganese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2019 |
FCC
4 - 1
PAG
72%
19%
9%
|
38 | 58 | 20 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2019 |
PAG
3 - 4
RPO
21%
24%
55%
|
38 | 51 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2019 |
JUS
1 - 0
PAG
80%
14%
6%
|
39 | 62 | 23 | -1 |
| 23 Jan. 2019 |
PAG
1 - 1
SIR
24%
26%
50%
|
38 | 50 | 12 | +1 |
| 30 Dec. 2018 |
REN
1 - 2
PAG
68%
21%
12%
|
37 | 52 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
Monopoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2019 |
MON
0 - 2
VIT
45%
27%
27%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2019 |
RPO
0 - 0
MON
31%
25%
44%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2019 |
TRA
4 - 2
MON
60%
22%
17%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 2019 |
MON
1 - 1
REG
46%
27%
27%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Jan. 2019 |
REN
2 - 4
MON
29%
28%
43%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | +1 |