Paganese vs Monopoli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.3%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.7%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
35.7%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-31%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paganese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
FCC
0 - 2
PAG
51%
27%
22%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2016 |
FIA
2 - 0
PAG
64%
22%
15%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
PAG
0 - 1
CAS
28%
27%
46%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
MAT
2 - 1
PAG
63%
23%
14%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
REG
0 - 1
PAG
42%
28%
30%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Monopoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
MON
1 - 1
REG
57%
23%
21%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2016 |
SIR
1 - 1
MON
54%
24%
22%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
MON
0 - 1
JUS
38%
26%
36%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
CAS
0 - 1
MON
59%
23%
18%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
MON
1 - 2
LEC
17%
24%
59%
|
49 | 64 | 15 | 0 |