Paganese vs Monopoli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.5%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
28.9%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-31%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paganese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
AKR
1 - 0
PAG
70%
18%
12%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
PAG
2 - 0
LCR
62%
22%
16%
|
47 | 39 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
MES
2 - 2
PAG
50%
25%
25%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
PAG
4 - 3
JUS
24%
26%
50%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | +1 |
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
FIA
0 - 1
PAG
69%
20%
12%
|
44 | 56 | 12 | +2 |
Matches
Monopoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
ASM
1 - 4
MON
55%
24%
21%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
MON
2 - 3
BEN
15%
23%
62%
|
45 | 61 | 16 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
MAR
2 - 2
MON
35%
27%
38%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
MON
2 - 0
LCR
55%
24%
22%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | +1 |
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
MES
3 - 2
MON
53%
25%
23%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | -1 |