Paganese vs ACR Messina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.3%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
14.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
25%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
25%
18.7%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-31%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paganese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
PAG
0 - 2
CAS
56%
25%
20%
|
47 | 40 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
LRO
1 - 0
PAG
38%
27%
35%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
PAG
1 - 2
REG
21%
26%
54%
|
49 | 60 | 11 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 2014 |
MAT
1 - 1
PAG
43%
27%
31%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
PAG
1 - 0
SAL
17%
24%
59%
|
46 | 61 | 15 | +2 |
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
MES
0 - 5
MAT
41%
26%
33%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2014 |
REG
0 - 1
MES
78%
15%
6%
|
41 | 60 | 19 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
MES
2 - 2
LRO
49%
25%
26%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2014 |
SSB
1 - 0
MES
67%
20%
13%
|
40 | 50 | 10 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2014 |
PON
3 - 1
MES
72%
18%
10%
|
40 | 56 | 16 | 0 |