Paganese vs Matera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.5%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.8%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.3%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
10.6%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
26.8%
52.7%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
15.4%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
-1
26.1%
0-2
11.2%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
16.1%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7.1%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-31%
-29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paganese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
FCC
1 - 0
PAG
50%
27%
23%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
PAG
0 - 0
ASM
51%
26%
23%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2016 |
ISC
0 - 2
PAG
36%
28%
36%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
PAG
0 - 1
BEN
14%
22%
64%
|
46 | 61 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
NUO
0 - 0
PAG
62%
24%
14%
|
45 | 55 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Matera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
MAT
2 - 3
ASM
66%
22%
12%
|
58 | 46 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
LEC
1 - 2
MAT
61%
23%
16%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2016 |
MAT
1 - 0
MAR
69%
21%
10%
|
57 | 43 | 14 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
JUS
1 - 1
MAT
46%
25%
29%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
MAT
3 - 0
FCC
57%
25%
19%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | +1 |