Paganese vs Lecce analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
8.8%
Win probability
0.5
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
<0%
+2
1.5%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
2.1%
3-2
0.3%
4-3
<0%
+1
7%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
19.7%
71.5%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
0-1
17%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.7%
0-2
16.4%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
22.3%
0-3
10.5%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
13.3%
0-4
5%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
6.1%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-31%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paganese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
FRO
2 - 1
PAG
74%
17%
9%
|
50 | 62 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2013 |
PAG
0 - 1
ACP
37%
30%
34%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
FCV
0 - 1
PAG
61%
23%
16%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
PAG
0 - 1
ASC
21%
27%
52%
|
50 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
PAG
1 - 2
PON
53%
26%
22%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
LEC
0 - 0
SSB
80%
14%
6%
|
69 | 53 | 16 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2013 |
PRG
2 - 0
LEC
24%
25%
51%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
LEC
1 - 2
FCC
82%
13%
5%
|
71 | 52 | 19 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
BEN
4 - 1
LEC
29%
27%
45%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
LEC
1 - 2
LAQ
89%
9%
2%
|
72 | 36 | 36 | 0 |