Paganese vs Fondi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.3%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.8%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
35.8%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paganese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2017 |
CAS
3 - 0
PAG
47%
26%
27%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2017 |
PAG
2 - 5
CAT
25%
29%
46%
|
49 | 60 | 11 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 2017 |
SIR
2 - 3
PAG
60%
23%
17%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2017 |
PAG
0 - 1
MON
31%
28%
41%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2017 |
REN
1 - 0
PAG
40%
27%
33%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Fondi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2017 |
FON
2 - 1
SIC
50%
24%
27%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2017 |
NUO
1 - 1
FON
48%
26%
27%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2017 |
FON
0 - 0
CAS
45%
24%
31%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2017 |
FIA
1 - 3
FON
52%
26%
22%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2017 |
FON
1 - 0
TRA
11%
20%
68%
|
46 | 70 | 24 | +2 |