Paganese vs Foligno Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.6%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.1%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.5%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
37%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paganese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 2010 |
USC
1 - 0
PAG
71%
19%
10%
|
52 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2009 |
PAG
1 - 0
LEC
41%
28%
31%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Dec. 2009 |
PAG
1 - 2
NOV
23%
28%
49%
|
52 | 65 | 13 | -1 |
| 06 Dec. 2009 |
PRG
2 - 1
PAG
52%
27%
21%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2009 |
PAG
3 - 0
PER
38%
29%
33%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Foligno Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 2010 |
FOL
2 - 0
PER
48%
27%
25%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2009 |
BEN
2 - 0
FOL
59%
23%
18%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2009 |
FOL
1 - 2
PRG
38%
29%
34%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | -1 |
| 06 Dec. 2009 |
ASF
4 - 2
FOL
25%
26%
49%
|
56 | 44 | 12 | -1 |
| 29 Nov. 2009 |
FOL
1 - 1
PRO
42%
28%
30%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |