Paganese vs Foligno Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.4%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.2%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.6%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.6%
39%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.5%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paganese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2006 |
ACP
1 - 1
PAG
52%
24%
24%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2006 |
PAG
0 - 1
CAR
36%
26%
38%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2006 |
UCG
3 - 1
PAG
47%
25%
28%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | -2 |
| 03 Sep. 2006 |
PAG
3 - 1
VIT
64%
20%
16%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | +2 |
| 05 Sep. 1982 |
PAG
0 - 0
SSS
42%
25%
33%
|
44 | 60 | 16 | +1 |
Matches
Foligno Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2006 |
FOL
0 - 0
RIE
66%
20%
14%
|
50 | 40 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2006 |
ACS
1 - 1
FOL
37%
26%
37%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2006 |
FOL
3 - 2
ASC
53%
24%
23%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2006 |
BSL
0 - 1
FOL
31%
25%
44%
|
49 | 40 | 9 | +1 |
| 07 May. 2006 |
CAR
0 - 1
FOL
47%
26%
27%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | +2 |