Paganese vs Fidelis Andria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.1%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.5%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
4.1%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.6%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.3%
63.6%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
12%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.6%
0-3
7.7%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
11.2%
0-4
3.7%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-31%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paganese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
MAR
1 - 1
PAG
51%
25%
24%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
PAG
2 - 1
USF
13%
20%
67%
|
39 | 55 | 16 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 2015 |
PAG
0 - 4
AKR
21%
23%
55%
|
41 | 50 | 9 | -2 |
| 23 Aug. 2015 |
VIG
5 - 0
PAG
40%
29%
31%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | -2 |
| 09 May. 2015 |
USF
3 - 0
PAG
70%
19%
11%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Fidelis Andria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
FIA
3 - 0
MAT
51%
24%
25%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
LEC
1 - 3
FIA
64%
22%
14%
|
54 | 66 | 12 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2015 |
ISC
2 - 3
FIA
23%
24%
53%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 2015 |
FIA
0 - 3
MAR
77%
16%
7%
|
54 | 41 | 13 | -1 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
GEL
2 - 2
FIA
18%
23%
59%
|
54 | 40 | 14 | 0 |