Paganese vs FC Südtirol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.6%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.1%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
23.9%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-30%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paganese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2011 |
ASG
3 - 1
PAG
57%
26%
18%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
PAG
0 - 1
SPE
38%
29%
33%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2011 |
COM
0 - 0
PAG
58%
25%
17%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
PAG
1 - 0
USC
26%
27%
47%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
PAG
1 - 0
ACL
26%
28%
46%
|
51 | 61 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
FC Südtirol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2011 |
FCS
2 - 0
PAV
31%
28%
41%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
ACL
1 - 0
FCS
67%
21%
12%
|
46 | 59 | 13 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2011 |
FCS
0 - 2
SOR
15%
24%
61%
|
46 | 63 | 17 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
PER
3 - 0
FCS
55%
26%
19%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
FCS
0 - 1
ASS
33%
28%
39%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | -1 |