Paganese vs Viareggio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.7%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
4%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.9%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.9%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
10.5%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.5%
48.8%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
14.5%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.2%
0-2
10%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
14.7%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paganese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 2012 |
PRG
3 - 0
PAG
65%
21%
14%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2012 |
FRO
2 - 2
PAG
75%
17%
8%
|
47 | 60 | 13 | +1 |
| 02 Dec. 2012 |
PAG
2 - 2
ASA
24%
28%
48%
|
47 | 57 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
SSB
0 - 1
PAG
62%
23%
15%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
BEN
2 - 0
PAG
79%
16%
5%
|
46 | 66 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Viareggio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 2012 |
FRO
1 - 1
FCV
61%
22%
17%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2012 |
FCV
3 - 0
SSB
52%
26%
23%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 Dec. 2012 |
PRG
4 - 1
FCV
41%
27%
32%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 Dec. 2012 |
USC
2 - 3
FCV
60%
22%
18%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | +1 |
| 02 Dec. 2012 |
FCV
2 - 2
PIS
25%
28%
47%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | 0 |