Paganese vs Viareggio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.2%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.7%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
14.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.3%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
22.2%
13.6%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10%
0-2
2%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paganese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
VAR
5 - 2
PAG
40%
29%
32%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2009 |
PAG
0 - 0
PRO
33%
29%
39%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2009 |
SOR
1 - 1
PAG
56%
25%
19%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2009 |
PAG
0 - 0
ASF
70%
19%
11%
|
54 | 38 | 16 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 2009 |
FOL
3 - 1
PAG
51%
27%
22%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Viareggio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2009 |
ACP
2 - 5
FCV
39%
27%
34%
|
41 | 34 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
PRG
1 - 0
FCV
70%
21%
9%
|
41 | 60 | 19 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2009 |
FCV
1 - 0
PER
25%
28%
47%
|
40 | 58 | 18 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2009 |
ASS
1 - 0
FCV
73%
18%
9%
|
41 | 57 | 16 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2009 |
FCV
0 - 0
COM
49%
26%
26%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | 0 |