Paganese vs Catanzaro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.1%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.7%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.9%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
46.7%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
13.2%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-29%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paganese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2019 |
CAS
1 - 3
PAG
65%
21%
15%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2019 |
BIS
2 - 2
PAG
34%
26%
40%
|
43 | 40 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Nov. 2019 |
PAG
0 - 1
BAR
19%
25%
57%
|
44 | 63 | 19 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 2019 |
TER
2 - 0
PAG
72%
17%
10%
|
44 | 54 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2019 |
PIC
2 - 0
PAG
38%
25%
37%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | -2 |
Matches
Catanzaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2019 |
FCC
1 - 3
TER
53%
24%
23%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2019 |
FCC
2 - 0
CAS
59%
22%
19%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 Nov. 2019 |
FCC
3 - 0
CAT
56%
23%
22%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2019 |
CAV
2 - 2
FCC
23%
28%
49%
|
57 | 45 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2019 |
FCC
2 - 0
MON
41%
25%
35%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | +2 |