Paganese vs Catanzaro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.8%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.1%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.4%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
50.6%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
12.6%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.4%
0-3
5%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.1%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-29%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paganese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
RPO
1 - 1
PAG
57%
23%
20%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
PAG
1 - 3
JUS
19%
25%
56%
|
43 | 57 | 14 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2018 |
SIR
3 - 1
PAG
68%
19%
13%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | -2 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
PAG
1 - 4
REN
36%
27%
36%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2018 |
CAV
1 - 0
PAG
52%
24%
24%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Catanzaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2018 |
FCC
3 - 1
REN
41%
27%
32%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2018 |
CAS
2 - 1
FCC
51%
27%
22%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2018 |
FCC
2 - 0
USV
52%
25%
23%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2018 |
REN
1 - 0
FCC
38%
29%
33%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
FCC
1 - 0
RPO
49%
25%
26%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | +2 |