Paganese vs Catanzaro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24.1%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.9%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.3%
28.3%
Draw
0-0
11.4%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
28.3%
47.6%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
15.1%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
25.2%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
14.2%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paganese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2013 |
ASG
2 - 0
PAG
65%
22%
14%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2013 |
PAG
1 - 2
NOC
26%
28%
46%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2013 |
GRO
1 - 1
PAG
78%
15%
7%
|
48 | 61 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2013 |
PAG
1 - 4
PRG
22%
29%
49%
|
49 | 60 | 11 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
LAQ
2 - 0
PAG
32%
29%
39%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Catanzaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2013 |
FCC
1 - 0
BEN
23%
25%
52%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2013 |
FCC
1 - 1
SSB
58%
24%
18%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 2013 |
ASG
1 - 1
FCC
47%
27%
27%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2013 |
FCC
2 - 2
SAL
46%
26%
29%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2013 |
GRO
0 - 1
FCC
66%
20%
14%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | +1 |