Paganese vs Como analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.9%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
10%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.7%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
10.2%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.3%
23.8%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.9%
0-2
4%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-31%
+31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paganese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2010 |
USC
2 - 0
PAG
71%
19%
10%
|
53 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2010 |
ACL
2 - 0
PAG
66%
22%
13%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 2010 |
PAG
1 - 2
ASS
38%
27%
34%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2010 |
SOR
1 - 0
PAG
65%
21%
14%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2010 |
PAG
0 - 2
PER
44%
28%
28%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Como
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2010 |
COM
0 - 1
BV5
57%
24%
19%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2010 |
COM
1 - 0
USC
21%
26%
54%
|
51 | 63 | 12 | +1 |
| 31 Oct. 2010 |
PAV
1 - 1
COM
38%
28%
34%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2010 |
COM
0 - 0
FCS
54%
25%
21%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2010 |
ACL
2 - 2
COM
70%
20%
10%
|
51 | 63 | 12 | 0 |