Paganese vs Campobasso analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.4%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.3%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.4%
2-0
15.7%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.1%
1-0
16%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.2%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
19.4%
9.2%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-57%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paganese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
CHI
2 - 1
PAG
38%
29%
33%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
PAG
1 - 1
EBO
67%
20%
13%
|
38 | 25 | 13 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
NEA
0 - 1
PAG
27%
26%
47%
|
37 | 24 | 13 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 2012 |
PAG
3 - 4
GAV
55%
24%
20%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
GIU
0 - 1
PAG
26%
28%
47%
|
37 | 26 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Campobasso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
CAM
0 - 2
ASM
45%
26%
30%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
ARZ
2 - 0
CAM
67%
20%
14%
|
25 | 31 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2012 |
CAM
0 - 1
FCC
62%
22%
16%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
CAM
2 - 2
GAV
33%
25%
41%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2012 |
FAN
1 - 1
CAM
57%
24%
19%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | 0 |