Paganese vs Lecco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.2%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
12%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
28.3%
Draw
0-0
10.2%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.3%
30.6%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-35%
-30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paganese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 2009 |
PAG
1 - 2
NOV
23%
28%
49%
|
52 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2009 |
PRG
2 - 1
PAG
52%
27%
21%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2009 |
PAG
3 - 0
PER
38%
29%
33%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 Nov. 2009 |
USA
1 - 0
PAG
51%
26%
23%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | -1 |
| 15 Nov. 2009 |
PAG
1 - 3
COM
66%
22%
13%
|
53 | 40 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Lecco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 2009 |
LEC
0 - 1
COM
65%
22%
13%
|
54 | 44 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2009 |
VAR
1 - 0
LEC
45%
27%
28%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 Nov. 2009 |
LEC
0 - 0
FCV
69%
20%
11%
|
55 | 43 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2009 |
PRG
2 - 1
LEC
50%
28%
22%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Nov. 2009 |
LEC
2 - 1
PER
46%
28%
26%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | +1 |