Paganese vs Lecco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.3%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.6%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
28.4%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-30%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paganese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2007 |
SAS
1 - 0
PAG
77%
16%
7%
|
51 | 66 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2007 |
PAG
0 - 0
PRO
39%
27%
34%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | +1 |
| 09 Dec. 2007 |
CTT
3 - 3
PAG
72%
19%
9%
|
50 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2007 |
PAG
1 - 0
CAV
34%
28%
39%
|
49 | 61 | 12 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 2007 |
VER
0 - 0
PAG
61%
24%
16%
|
48 | 58 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Lecco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2007 |
LEC
3 - 2
FOL
34%
29%
37%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2007 |
LEC
0 - 0
VER
33%
31%
37%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2007 |
USC
2 - 0
LEC
60%
23%
16%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2007 |
LEC
0 - 1
PRO
46%
28%
26%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 2007 |
CAV
3 - 0
LEC
56%
25%
19%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | -1 |