Paganese vs Bassano Virtus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.3%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.2%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13%
2-0
14%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.3%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
19.5%
11.1%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-31%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paganese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2010 |
PAV
1 - 0
PAG
23%
27%
50%
|
56 | 42 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2010 |
PAG
2 - 1
VER
33%
31%
36%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | +2 |
| 09 May. 2010 |
NOV
0 - 1
PAG
76%
16%
8%
|
52 | 66 | 14 | +2 |
| 02 May. 2010 |
PAG
2 - 0
PRG
37%
29%
35%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 2010 |
PER
1 - 0
PAG
48%
27%
25%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Bassano Virtus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2010 |
RAV
1 - 1
BV5
74%
18%
8%
|
40 | 60 | 20 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2010 |
BV5
2 - 3
SPA
19%
24%
56%
|
39 | 60 | 21 | +1 |
| 09 May. 2010 |
CAR
2 - 1
BV5
15%
25%
60%
|
39 | 23 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2010 |
BV5
1 - 1
PRO
66%
20%
14%
|
40 | 33 | 7 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 2010 |
FCC
0 - 2
BV5
32%
27%
41%
|
39 | 31 | 8 | +1 |