Paganese vs Melfi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.4%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.7%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.9%
2-0
15.6%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
15.3%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
25.7%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
18.7%
8.9%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paganese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
FCC
2 - 1
PAG
22%
28%
50%
|
45 | 30 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
PAG
1 - 0
RAA
74%
18%
8%
|
45 | 28 | 17 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2011 |
CAM
0 - 1
PAG
20%
27%
53%
|
44 | 27 | 17 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
PAG
1 - 2
CHI
70%
20%
10%
|
45 | 30 | 15 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
EBO
0 - 0
PAG
37%
28%
36%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Melfi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
ASM
0 - 1
GAV
47%
24%
29%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
VIG
3 - 1
ASM
46%
26%
28%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 2011 |
ASM
3 - 2
NEA
47%
24%
29%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
ASM
1 - 0
CAM
48%
25%
27%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
LAQ
4 - 1
ASM
59%
23%
18%
|
26 | 33 | 7 | -1 |