Paganese vs AS Gubbio 1910 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.3%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
18.9%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-61%
-34%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paganese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2007 |
PAG
1 - 1
ACS
64%
21%
16%
|
48 | 41 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2007 |
PAG
2 - 0
ACP
47%
25%
28%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2007 |
RIE
3 - 1
PAG
33%
26%
41%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2007 |
PAG
2 - 1
SSC
70%
18%
12%
|
48 | 38 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2007 |
REG
1 - 0
PAG
48%
27%
25%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
AS Gubbio 1910
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2007 |
ASG
1 - 2
SPA
34%
27%
39%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2007 |
ASG
1 - 1
CUO
48%
26%
26%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2007 |
ASC
1 - 1
ASG
57%
24%
19%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2007 |
ASG
1 - 1
FOL
37%
26%
37%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2007 |
SSC
1 - 1
ASG
33%
27%
40%
|
46 | 37 | 9 | 0 |