Paganese vs Akragas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.1%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.7%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.9%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
22%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.9%
14.9%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-35%
-39%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paganese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
REG
1 - 0
PAG
41%
26%
33%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 2017 |
PAG
0 - 2
NUO
35%
28%
38%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 Dec. 2017 |
BIS
3 - 1
PAG
41%
26%
33%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 2017 |
FCC
1 - 1
PAG
40%
27%
33%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2017 |
PAG
1 - 1
LEC
23%
25%
52%
|
50 | 61 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Akragas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
AKR
2 - 3
MON
29%
25%
46%
|
41 | 50 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 2017 |
REN
2 - 0
AKR
60%
24%
16%
|
42 | 51 | 9 | -1 |
| 22 Dec. 2017 |
AKR
1 - 1
MAT
22%
25%
54%
|
41 | 57 | 16 | +1 |
| 10 Dec. 2017 |
FON
3 - 0
AKR
68%
19%
13%
|
42 | 49 | 7 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2017 |
AKR
1 - 0
REG
28%
25%
47%
|
41 | 50 | 9 | +1 |